Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000094 0.000111 0.000129 0.000150 0.000173 0.000197 0.000225
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000092 0.000117 0.000147 0.000182 0.000220 0.000266
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000081 0.000109 0.000145 0.000187 0.000235 0.000293
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000071 0.000103 0.000143 0.000193 0.000251 0.000323
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000066 0.000099 0.000144 0.000200 0.000267 0.000351
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000061 0.000096 0.000145 0.000208 0.000284 0.000381
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000029 0.000055 0.000092 0.000144 0.000213 0.000296 0.000404
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000023 0.000049 0.000086 0.000140 0.000213 0.000303 0.000421
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000022 0.000048 0.000088 0.000146 0.000225 0.000325 0.000457
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000017 0.000042 0.000082 0.000141 0.000224 0.000330 0.000471
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000015 0.000040 0.000080 0.000142 0.000229 0.000342 0.000495
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000013 0.000036 0.000076 0.000140 0.000232 0.000351 0.000514
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000011 0.000035 0.000077 0.000145 0.000244 0.000374 0.000552
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000009 0.000032 0.000074 0.000144 0.000248 0.000386 0.000577
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000007 0.000028 0.000070 0.000140 0.000247 0.000391 0.000592
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000006 0.000026 0.000067 0.000140 0.000252 0.000404 0.000617
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000005 0.000024 0.000065 0.000140 0.000256 0.000416 0.000641
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000004 0.000023 0.000065 0.000142 0.000263 0.000432 0.000672
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000003 0.000021 0.000062 0.000140 0.000265 0.000441 0.000692
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000002 0.000018 0.000058 0.000137 0.000264 0.000446 0.000707
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000002 0.000018 0.000060 0.000142 0.000277 0.000469 0.000747
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000001 0.000016 0.000056 0.000138 0.000274 0.000471 0.000758
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000001 0.000015 0.000055 0.000138 0.000279 0.000483 0.000782